Brussels, September 2017: Programme

Current issues and key knowledge gaps of land-use in the climate system

Scotland House Conference Center, Brussels, 25.-26.09.2017

Land-use and land-cover change are key processes through which humans affect the functioning of the Earth system, contributing to global climate and environmental changes and with impacts on human well-being. Nearly 80% of the land surface are affected one way or another by human activities, 40% of the land area managed as croplands and pastures. In the wake of the Paris agreement, issues of land use are becoming central for achieving a <2°C warming world. What is now a source of greenhouse gases will need to be rapidly transformed into a sink, and maintained that way.



Monday, 25. September 2017

09:30 - 11:00   Oral presentations 

The neglected nonlocal biogeophysical effects of deforestation

Johannes Winckler (Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany)


Biophysical and bio-geochemical effects of large-scale land cover changes

Devaraju Narayanappa (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement LSCE, Centre national de la recherche scientifique CNRS, France)


A tool to evaluate local biophysical effects on temperature due to land cover change transitions

Luca Caporaso (CMCC Fundation, Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change CMCC, Viterbo, Italy)


Bioenergy crops modelling in ORCHIDEE

Wei Li (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement LSCE, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, France)


11:00 - 11:30   Break


11:30 - 13:00  

The effects of land use change on the local surface energy balance: a global assessment from remote sensing, uncoupled and coupled climate models

Gregory Duveiller (European Commission Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy)


Land use scenarios for climate stabilization with a high climate sensitivity model

Kaoru Tachiiri (Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Japan)


A new historical land use data set for the Holocene: HYDE 3.2

Kees Klein Goldewijk (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)


Using NASA Remote Sensing Data to Reduce Uncertainty of Land-use Transitions in Global Carbon-Climate Models

Louise Parsons Chini (University of Maryland, USA)


13:00 - 14:00   Lunch


14:00 - 15:50  

Quantifying the global carbon sink in secondary forest

Thomas Pugh (University of Birmingham, United Kingdom / Karlsruhe Institute of Technology KIT, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research IMK-IFU, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany)


Land use change and net carbon sink

Philippe Ciais (Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement LSCE, CNRS, France)


Deconstructing the Net Land Use Flux: What can we learn about carbon sinks on managed lands?

Lena Shevliakova (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, visiting scientist at Princeton University, USA)


Investigating the biogeochemical effects of land management in the Community Earth System Model

Peter Lawrence (NCAR, Boulder, USA)


Recognizing scaling challenges in estimating global carbon fluxes from land-use and land-cover change

Benjamin Poulter (NASA GSFC, USA)


After end of the oral session – 18:00 Poster session with snacks


Tuesday, 26. September 2017

09:00 - 10:30  

Losses and inefficiencies in the global food system, and how to reduce them

Peter Alexander (University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom)


Land-based mitigation options beyond afforestation and bioenergy: the case of conservation agriculture

Reinhard Prestele (Environmental Geography Group, Department of Earth Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Netherlands)


Multi-objective adaptation in a 1.5 degree world – can European landuse deliver everything?

Ian Holman (Cranfield University, United Kingdom)


Modelling forest plantations for carbon uptake with the IMAGE-LPJmL integrated assessment model

Maarten Braakhekke (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)


10:30 - 11:00   Break


11:00 - 12:30  

Afforestation for climate change mitigation – exploring potentials and trade-offs in deep mitigation scenarios

Jonathan Doelman (PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency)


Future land-use and -management projections under population growth and climate change using a coupled ecosystem & land use model framework

Sam Rabin (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology KIT, Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Atmospheric Environmental Research IMK-IFU, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany)







12:30 - 13:30   Lunch



Panel Discussion 13:00 – 16:30

13:30    Opening and welcome

Marc Gramberger, Prospex (moderator)


13:35    An overview of LUC4C and its key science findings

Almut Arneth, Coordinator, LUC4C


13:55    Where policy-makers want science to go in view of land-based mitigation

Jean-Francois Hulot, Head of Unit, Strategy, Climate Action and Resource Efficiency, European Commission - DG RTD

Gregor Erbach, Policy Analyst, EPRS, European Parliament

Philippe Ciais, IPCC

N.N., Member State Representative

Moderated by Marc Gramberger, Prospex


14:40     Break


15:00    A reply from science

Almut Arneth

Mark Rounsevell, Lead Work package “policy options”, LUC4C


15:25    Matching future needs between policy and science

Discussion between policy (panel) and science (audience)

Moderated by Marc Gramberger, Prospex


16:25    Wrap-up

Almut Arneth


16:30     END